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Fed: Still Easing After All These Years – Interpretation & Asset Implications
In its new round of quantitative easing, the Fed’s operations are now open-ended, unlike in previous instances. What is more, in what could mark a turning point in its approach to monetary policy, it signaled that its loose stance might … Continue reading
Life at 0%: What’s Next for the ECB?
The reduction of the ECB’s deposit rate to 0% led to an immediate Eur500 mn drop in deposit holdings but prompted a simultaneous increase in current account holdings, leaving overall bank reserves unchanged. Yet, focus on these figures is misplaced: … Continue reading
Why the Debate About EZ ‘Fiscal Union’ Is Wrongheaded, Focus on Growth Is Ill-Conceived And Ms Merkel Is Right
A fiscal union in the Eurozone (EZ) – whether in the form of additional financing or debt mutualization – is not only politically unrealistic but also counter-productive in dealing with the issues at hand. Transfers or grants would work, but … Continue reading
Grading the 12th Eurozone Crisis Summit: Still in Search of ‘New Eurozone Man’
The changes to the modus operandi of the ESM agreed at the latest summit appear significant at first (sovereign bond purchase, non-preferred creditor status, direct lending to banks plus the quid pro quo of ECB-led banking supervision) and can help … Continue reading
Currency Implications of a China Slowdown
Risk sentiment and commodity prices bode ill for AUD in the event of a Chinese slowdown. Effects on other G10 currencies are more ambiguous: A reduction in global liquidity and redressing of global imbalances will likely be positive for USD, … Continue reading
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