Tag Archives: Fed

Why the Fed Balance Sheet Reduction Won’t Affect the Economy – And Why It Will

Quantitative Tightening, as envisaged by the Fed, implies an equivalent, and ultimately sizeable, reduction of bank reserves on the liability side of the Fed’s balance sheet.  However, changes in monetary aggregates have little impact on the real economy or inflation. … Continue reading

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Central Banks: Stopping the Addiction

As global economies recover, central banks are shifting towards ‘normalising’ their bloated balance sheets. Given the scale of the previous build-up, many investors fear that this could be hugely disruptive to markets. Yet, this is unlikely. The Fed’s balance sheet … Continue reading

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A Glide Path for the Fed: Earlier, But More Predictable and Flexible Tapering

The Fed began the process of ending QE and thereby kicked off the end of a 30-year long cycle of progressively easier monetary conditions. In starting the tapering process earlier than expected, the Fed has traded off incremental adjustments in … Continue reading

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Market Prospects Ahead of the QE3 Wind-Down

The Fed surprised markets with a more hawkish posture than expected, suggesting the start of QE tapering in late 2013 and completion by mid-2014. While Fed guidance may not ultimately come to pass, EM equity markets in particular remain subject … Continue reading

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(Fed) Talk is cheap. So don’t listen

Recent market perceptions notwithstanding, the Fed is unlikely to end its accommodative stance (incl. QE) anytime soon. However, this does not mean that asset markets will continue to derive undiminished support from such actions forever.

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